Within Ontario UFOs

Why Are Great Lakes UFO Cases So Difficult?

Sightings over Ontario's Great Lakes are compelling because they cross busy airspace, weather systems and borders, yet those same factors often provide

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On this page

  • Civil and military traffic over the lakes
  • Radar, weather and cross border jurisdiction
  • Aircraft, meteors, drones and other recurring explanations
Preview for Why Are Great Lakes UFO Cases So Difficult?

Introduction

Ontario’s Great Lakes UFO cases are difficult for a simple reason: the lakes provide excellent conditions for noticing unusual lights, but poor conditions for judging what those lights are. Long, dark horizons remove familiar landmarks, while busy airline routes, military surveillance, changing weather and cross-border traffic add many possible sources. An object may look stationary when it is approaching head-on, appear to merge with another light when two aircraft cross at different distances, or seem to hover above the water because atmospheric refraction has displaced a distant image.

Overview image for Great Lakes

Some reports nevertheless matter as genuine aviation-safety events. Pilots have taken evasive action, air traffic controllers have recorded unexplained observations, and NORAD has investigated high-altitude objects over the region. Yet “unidentified” usually describes the limits of the available evidence, not evidence of an extraordinary craft. The Great Lakes record is most useful when treated as a problem in distance, perspective, weather, traffic identification and fragmented jurisdiction.

Why the lakes make ordinary lights look extraordinary

A light over land is usually surrounded by clues: roads, buildings, hills, trees and a visible horizon. Over Lake Ontario, Lake Erie, Lake Huron or Lake Superior, those reference points may disappear. A witness on shore may therefore be unable to tell whether a light is a few hundred metres away or many kilometres distant, whether it is low over the water or high in the sky, or whether it is moving towards the observer rather than remaining still.

This loss of depth information makes aviation lights especially deceptive. An aircraft flying almost directly towards a witness can show a bright, steady landing light while its sideways movement remains too small to notice. It may appear to hover for several minutes, then suddenly “shoot away” when it turns and its apparent motion changes. Navigation or anti-collision lights may be invisible at long range, particularly through haze, leaving only the dominant forward-facing light.

The southern Great Lakes also sit beside some of Canada’s most complex airspace. NAV CANADA manages the country’s civil air-navigation system, including airways, flight paths and the coordination of aircraft. Its terminal charts specifically cover congested areas such as Toronto, and Toronto Pearson is Canada’s largest airport. Aircraft serving Pearson, Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport, Hamilton, London, Windsor, Cleveland, Buffalo and other airports can all become visible across or above the lakes.[navcanada.ca]navcanada.caNAV CANADA is a private, not-for-profit corporation that operates Canada’s air traffic control and civil air navigation system under the…

The Lake Erie videos that attracted international attention during the 2000s illustrate the problem. Several recordings made from the Cleveland shoreline showed bright lights apparently hovering, approaching one another or “merging” over the water. Airport officials noted that altered arrival and departure patterns placed aircraft over Lake Erie, and that two aeroplanes separated by miles could appear almost superimposed from the shore. The videos did not prove that every Lake Erie report was an aircraft, but they showed why a dramatic-looking formation cannot be interpreted reliably without the viewing direction, flight paths and precise timing.[WIRED]wired.comLake Erie UFOs Are Stars on You TubeVarious sightings have been reported near Cleveland, Ohio, with ufologist Aaron Clark noting over 20 credible encounters in the past two…

When a sighting becomes an aviation incident

The strongest Great Lakes cases are not necessarily those with the strangest descriptions. They are those in which an observation affected an aircraft’s operation and entered an aviation reporting system.

Great Lakes illustration 1

The 2016 Porter encounter

On 14 November 2016, a Porter Airlines Dash 8 approaching Toronto encountered an unidentified airborne object over Lake Ontario. The aircraft was flying at just under 3,000 metres and was roughly 55 kilometres from Billy Bishop Toronto City Airport when the pilots made an evasive descent. Two cabin crew members suffered minor injuries during the manoeuvre. The pilots described an apparently solid object, likened in reports to an upright inner tube or doughnut.[CityNews Toronto]toronto.citynews.caCityNews TorontoObject that caused near-collision with Porter plane not a…November 23, 2016 — 23 Nov 2016 — Federal transportation inv…Published: November 23, 2016

The Transportation Safety Board of Canada initially considered whether the object might have been a drone. It later said that the reported size and description did not match known commercial or consumer unmanned aircraft, and that the altitude and distance from shore made that explanation unlikely. The occurrence therefore remained recorded as a near collision with an unidentified airborne object.[CityNews Toronto]toronto.citynews.caCityNews TorontoObject that caused near-collision with Porter plane not a…November 23, 2016 — 23 Nov 2016 — Federal transportation inv…Published: November 23, 2016

That conclusion is important but narrower than it may sound. Investigators did not establish that the object displayed impossible speed, propulsion or manoeuvrability. Nor did the board issue a full investigation report capable of resolving its origin; it retained a summary for occurrence and statistical purposes. The episode is consequently a legitimate unresolved aviation hazard, but not a well-documented demonstration of an exotic vehicle.[CityNews Toronto]toronto.citynews.caCityNews TorontoObject that caused near-collision with Porter plane not a…November 23, 2016 — 23 Nov 2016 — Federal transportation inv…Published: November 23, 2016

A separate report from 30 May 2016 involved an Air Canada Express crew approaching Toronto. The pilots reported crossing an unidentified round object moving at an estimated 300 knots. As with many short-duration cockpit observations, the account is notable because trained professionals made it, but the publicly available record provides too little positional, radar or imagery data to test the estimated shape and speed independently.[VICE]vice.comCommercial Airline Pilots Keep Reporting UFOs Over14 of that year, two crew members were injured when a Porter Airlines plane dove to avoid hitting an…Read more…

These cases also show why pilot testimony should neither be dismissed nor treated as automatically conclusive. Pilots are skilled observers of traffic and hazards, but an unexpected object may be visible for only seconds, against an empty background, while the crew is moving at high speed. Estimates of distance, size and velocity are interdependent: an object judged to be nearby and small could instead be larger and farther away, or vice versa.

What radar and official records can establish

Canada’s Civil Aviation Daily Occurrence Reporting System, usually called CADORS, is the main federal record for civil aviation occurrences. It began in 1985 and receives much of its information from NAV CANADA, along with reports from operators, airports, pilots and other parties. Unidentified aerial observations may be included when they affect aviation safety.[tc.canada.ca]tc.canada.cacivil aviation daily occurrence reporting system cadorscivil aviation daily occurrence reporting system cadors

CADORS is valuable because it preserves times, locations, aircraft details and operational consequences that may be absent from civilian UFO databases. It can establish, for example, that a crew reported a light, that air traffic control was informed or that an aircraft changed course. It should not, however, be mistaken for a catalogue of fully investigated UFO cases. Entries often contain preliminary occurrence information rather than the results of a specialised identification process.[tc.canada.ca]tc.canada.cacivil aviation daily occurrence reporting system cadorscivil aviation daily occurrence reporting system cadors

The federal Sky Canada Project found that Canadian UAP information is distributed among Transport Canada, the Royal Canadian Air Force, the Department of National Defence, police organisations and civilian reporting groups. Reports are generally not analysed further unless they present an apparent safety or security concern, and witnesses rarely receive a detailed follow-up. This fragmentation makes it difficult to determine whether several Great Lakes reports describe one event, unrelated aircraft or the same astronomical object viewed from different places.[ISED Canada]ised-isde.canada.caOpen source on canada.ca.

Radar evidence requires equal care. A radar return can help establish range, altitude and motion, but not every visual light produces a useful return, and not every return represents a solid aircraft. Weather, birds, technical artefacts and weak or intermittent targets can complicate interpretation. Conversely, the absence of a publicly available radar record does not prove that nothing was detected; military and civil systems have different purposes, coverage and disclosure rules.

The Great Lakes also cross an international boundary. A light seen from Ontario may be above United States territory, over international water or within Canadian-controlled airspace. Civil aviation information may involve NAV CANADA and the United States Federal Aviation Administration, while a potential defence concern may involve the binational North American Aerospace Defense Command, or NORAD. Police, coastguard, weather and military records can therefore be held by different organisations on opposite sides of the border.

Lake Huron and the difference between unknown and extraordinary

The events of February 2023 provide a useful modern comparison with traditional UFO reports. On 12 February, NORAD launched Canadian and American fighters to investigate a high-altitude object over Lake Huron. A United States aircraft shot it down. Canadian defence records state that the object remained in United States airspace, although Canada participated in tracking and assessing the event through NORAD.[Canada]canada.caNORAD Authorities and OperationsNORAD Authorities and Operations

At the time of interception, the object was genuinely unidentified. That status justified military attention because altitude, flight path and possible interference with aircraft mattered regardless of who had launched it. It did not mean officials had concluded that it was technologically extraordinary. The incident followed the discovery of a Chinese surveillance balloon and other high-altitude objects over North America, making balloons or lighter-than-air devices an obvious investigative category.[Canada]canada.caDomestic and Continental DefenceDomestic and Continental Defence

Recovery was incomplete, but debris later found on the Lake Huron shoreline was assessed as presenting no national-security concern, according to the Sky Canada report’s account of an RCMP statement. That later information weakened the idea that the event involved an inexplicable advanced craft, even though the precise ownership and purpose of the original airborne object were not publicly established.[ISED Canada]ised-isde.canada.caOpen source on canada.ca.

The episode demonstrates why the word “UFO” can confuse rather than clarify. An unidentified object may be a surveillance platform, research balloon, recreational balloon, drifting equipment or other conventional device whose identity is initially unknown. In aviation and air defence, uncertainty alone can be operationally significant.

Weather can move the apparent horizon

Great Lakes weather does more than hide objects. It can alter where they appear to be.

A superior mirage forms when cooler air lies beneath warmer air in a temperature inversion. Light bends through these layers, causing a distant object to appear higher than its true position. Ships, shore lights, buildings and aircraft can look elevated, stretched, duplicated or suspended above the horizon. The effect is especially relevant over broad, cool water surfaces, where stable layers of air may extend for long distances.[ubc.ca]eoas.ubc.caOpen source on ubc.ca.

For a Great Lakes observer, refraction may make a light beyond the normal geometric horizon visible, or separate it visually from the shoreline that produced it. Changing air layers can cause the image to shimmer, split or alter brightness. A witness may therefore report several manoeuvring lights even when the source is a distant vessel, building, aircraft or illuminated structure.

Mirage explanations should not be applied automatically. They become persuasive only when the observation is close to the horizon, the weather supports an inversion and the apparent light corresponds with a plausible source in the same direction. A high object seen from an aircraft, or a target tracked independently at a measured altitude, requires a different explanation.

Lake-effect cloud, haze, ice crystals and broken layers can create further confusion. Aircraft lights can disappear behind cloud and reappear elsewhere along the flight path, giving the impression of instantaneous movement. Searchlights or powerful ground illumination may form bright patches on a low cloud base. The lakes’ marine weather stations also warn that a single observation point may not represent conditions across the wider lake, making retrospective reconstruction difficult when witnesses do not record precise location and visibility.[Environment Canada Weather]weather.gc.caEnvironment Canada Weather Great LakesEnvironment Canada Weather Great Lakes

Great Lakes illustration 2

Meteors that cross the lakes

Bright meteors are among the most convincing brief UFOs because they can be intensely luminous, unexpectedly coloured and apparently close. Fragmentation may produce several lights, while perspective can make a shallow atmospheric trajectory seem level or even rising.

Southern Ontario is unusually well placed to test such reports because Western University operates an automated meteor-camera network. On 25 September 2009, seven cameras recorded a brilliant fireball over the western end of Lake Ontario, allowing researchers to reconstruct its path and estimate a meteorite fall area near Grimsby. A casual witness might have seen only a brilliant object moving over the lake; the camera network turned the same event into a measurable atmospheric trajectory.[aquarid.physics.uwo.ca]aquarid.physics.uwo.caMeteor PhysicsMeteor Physics

Other instrumented examples show that these are recurring regional events:

  • In March 2014, Canadian and United States cameras recorded a bright fireball over the north shore of Lake Erie.[aquarid.physics.uwo.ca]aquarid.physics.uwo.caFireball Events — Western Meteor Physics GroupFireball Events — Western Meteor Physics Group
  • In October 2016, six Western University cameras recorded a long-lasting fireball over Georgian Bay and Parry Sound.[Media Relations]mediarelations.uwo.caOpen source on uwo.ca.
  • In July 2019, a fireball first became visible south of Oshawa over Lake Ontario at an altitude of about 93 kilometres before continuing across Ontario.[Media Relations]mediarelations.uwo.caOpen source on uwo.ca.
  • A December 2011 fireball was first detected over Lake Erie and travelled north-north-east into Ontario.[aquarid.physics.uwo.ca]aquarid.physics.uwo.caFireball Events — Western Meteor Physics GroupFireball Events — Western Meteor Physics Group

These observations matter because eyewitness estimates alone often place meteors far too low or too close. A fireball tens of kilometres high can appear to descend into a nearby lake or field. Without reports from separated locations, witnesses may sincerely believe that an object landed in the water when its actual path ended far beyond the visible horizon.

Aircraft, drones and other recurring explanations

No single explanation accounts for all Great Lakes sightings. Several sources recur because they exploit the same weaknesses in human distance and motion perception.

Aircraft seen head-on. A landing light can appear stationary and intensely bright. After the aircraft turns, it may seem to accelerate abruptly or vanish as the beam no longer points towards the observer.

Aircraft crossing at different ranges. Two aeroplanes on ordinary routes may appear to approach, merge or pass through one another. The Lake Erie video controversy showed how flight paths viewed almost end-on can create an apparent near collision or coordinated formation.[WIRED]wired.comLake Erie UFOs Are Stars on You TubeVarious sightings have been reported near Cleveland, Ohio, with ufologist Aaron Clark noting over 20 credible encounters in the past two…

Drones. Small unmanned aircraft can hover, change direction quickly and carry unusual lighting. They are plausible near shorelines, boats and urban areas, but range, legal altitude and endurance must be tested rather than assumed. Transport Canada treats irresponsible drone operation near aircraft or aerodromes as a reportable safety issue.[tc.canada.ca]tc.canada.caReport a drone incidentReport a drone incident

Balloons and drifting objects. Weather, research and recreational balloons may travel at high altitude with little visible structure. Sunlight can illuminate them after the ground is in shadow, producing a bright or metallic-looking object. The 2023 North American incidents demonstrated that such objects can remain unidentified long enough to trigger military interception.

Meteors and re-entering space debris. These typically explain short, fast or fragmenting events rather than lights that remain in one area for many minutes. Camera networks are particularly useful because they can compare a witness account with a measured trajectory.

Planets and bright stars. Venus, Jupiter and Sirius can appear unusually prominent above a dark lake horizon. Atmospheric turbulence can make a bright star flash in several colours. These explanations are strongest when the light remains fixed relative to the sky and appears at the predicted time and bearing.

Satellites. Individual satellites move steadily and silently, while groups of recently launched spacecraft can appear as a line of lights. They do not normally hover, reverse course or remain below cloud, so an exact time and viewing direction are essential.

Boats and shore lighting. Vessel lights may be mistaken for low aircraft, particularly when the waterline is invisible. Refraction can raise or distort lights from the opposite shore, sometimes making sources below the normal horizon appear airborne.

Great Lakes illustration 3

Why famous mysteries remain difficult to use

The Great Lakes are associated with older military stories in which radar targets, missing aircraft and Cold War secrecy became intertwined. The best-known is the 1953 disappearance of a United States Air Force F-89 Scorpion during an interception over Lake Superior. The aircraft and its two crew members were never recovered.

The official explanation was that the fighter had been sent to identify a Royal Canadian Air Force C-47 that had strayed from its planned route and then crashed during the interception. Later UFO accounts emphasised that radar plots appeared to converge before the fighter vanished. The absence of wreckage left room for increasingly dramatic interpretations, including the claim that an unknown craft had somehow absorbed or destroyed the interceptor.[Wikipedia]WikipediaFelix MonclaFelix Moncla

The case belongs partly to Ontario’s Great Lakes history because the intercepted Canadian aircraft was reportedly bound towards Sudbury and Canadian forces joined the search. Its centre of gravity, however, remains a United States military accident near the international boundary rather than an Ontario civilian sighting. The surviving evidence supports an unresolved crash location and incomplete reconstruction, not a confirmed encounter with an anomalous craft.

It also illustrates a recurring historical problem: later retellings often contain than the contemporary record. A supposed 2006 discovery of the missing jet by a “Great Lakes Dive Company” was exposed as a hoax. Such additions do not merely fail to solve the original event; they make it harder for readers to distinguish archived evidence from later folklore.[Wikipedia]WikipediaFelix MonclaFelix Moncla

What would make a Great Lakes case persuasive?

A strong report requires more than a vivid light or a credible witness. It needs enough information to separate extraordinary behaviour from the normal effects of geometry, weather and incomplete observation.

The most useful evidence includes:

  • an exact time, location and viewing direction;
  • duration and angular movement against stars or fixed landmarks;
  • photographs retaining original metadata;
  • accounts from observers at separated locations;
  • air traffic, automatic aircraft-broadcast and radar data;
  • weather profiles, cloud height and visibility;
  • astronomical and satellite predictions;
  • meteor-camera records;[aquarid.physics.uwo.ca]aquarid.physics.uwo.caMeteor PhysicsMeteor Physics
  • physical debris with a documented recovery history.

Several independent sensors are especially valuable. A visual observation combined with radar range, calibrated imagery and aircraft data can establish whether a target was truly nearby, fast or manoeuvring. A single compressed phone video usually cannot. Zoom, autofocus, camera movement and digital stabilisation may make a point of light pulse, change shape or dart across the frame.

The central lesson of Ontario’s Great Lakes cases is therefore not that every mystery has an easy explanation. The 2016 Porter encounter remains unidentified in the public record, and incomplete reports cannot always be reconstructed years later. The lesson is that “unresolved” is a statement about evidence quality. In a region where aircraft, weather, meteors, balloons, drones and reflected lights overlap, the absence of a final identification does not by itself show that an object behaved beyond known technology or natural phenomena.

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Endnotes

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58. Source: navcanada.ca
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59. Source: products.navcanada.ca
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60. Source: navcanada.ca
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61. Source: navcanada.ca
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62. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Environment Canada Weather Great Lakes
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63. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Environment Canada Weather Great Lakes
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64. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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65. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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66. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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67. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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68. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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69. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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70. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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71. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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72. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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73. Source: weather.gc.ca
Title: Great Lakes
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74. Source: thedebrief.org
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75. Source: aa.com.tr
Title: canada ufo sightings include reports from airline crews
Link:https://www.aa.com.tr/en/americas/canada-ufo-sightings-include-reports-from-airline-crews/3120051

76. Source: theguardian.com
Title: canada flying object mystery lake huron
Link:https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/feb/13/canada-flying-object-mystery-lake-huron

Additional References

77. Source: syfy.com
Title: unidentified aerial phenomena ufos in canada
Link:https://www.syfy.com/syfy-wire/unidentified-aerial-phenomena-ufos-in-canada

Source snippet

A supposed "donut like" object was flying directly in the path of a Porter...Read more...

78. Source: cia.gov
Link:https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/document/cia-rdp81r00560r000100010001-0

79. Source: tsb.gc.ca
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80. Source: reddit.com
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81. Source: instagram.com
Link:https://www.instagram.com/reel/DFNhqrrRN-m/

82. Source: facebook.com
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83. Source: reddit.com
Link:https://www.reddit.com/r/space/comments/1he8owb/fyi_if_you_think_you_see_drones_check_that_its/

84. Source: facebook.com
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85. Source: hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu
Link:https://hyperphysics.phy-astr.gsu.edu/hbase/atmos/mirage.html

86. Source: facebook.com
Link:https://www.facebook.com/EdPiotrowskiWPDE/posts/kristin-rahn-captured-this-bizarre-image-of-what-looks-like-floating-hotels-beyo/1489123775909485/